Nick Forster@nickforster · 2026/08/23观点输出Options markets implying a 1 in 20 chance that $HYPE is above $120 by the end of Sep (+50% from here).
The Sep 25th $120 strike call is trading ~$0.95.
Think that's too high? Sell the $120 call with $HYPE or $kHYPE collateral and earn ~14% in USD premiums annualized
Think that's too low? Buy the calls and if $HYPE goes to $130 by September 25th, you make a 10x.
NFA
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Nick Forster@nickforster · 2026/08/21观点输出Quietly compounding during the bear, Derive is ready for the bull https://t.co/iv6BDcuyZD
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Nick Forster@nickforster · 2026/08/21赛道影响@litocoen your sacrifice will not be in vain 🫡
AI：偏主题投资表达，释放对基础设施与新叙事的偏多信号。
Nick Forster@nickforster · 2026/08/20观点输出$166m in 24 hour volume
$60,000 in fees over the past 48 hours
$1.92B OI
Expected things to pick back up come September, but nice to be ahead of schedule https://t.co/Qh0eIojV0t
AI：延续个人公开立场，强调长期主义、执行效率与行业方向判断。
Nick Forster@nickforster · 2026/08/20政策影响$HYPE options traders have repositioned over the last 24 hours.
- Implied volatility is higher (obviously)
- Put skew is down relative to calls. This is bullish, traders are positioning for more muted downside risk now that the regulatory overhang is reduced.
70% ATM IV looks like the right vol level out to Sep IMO - undeniably more volatile than ETH or BTC (so buyers will take directional bets here) but juicy enough for sellers to generate USD by selling covered calls / cash secured puts.
AI：偏政策推进，强调合规落地与规则明晰，对监管主线更敏感。
Nick Forster@nickforster · 2026/08/17赛道影响Excited to be in Jackson Hole (despite copping multiple rounds of hail on the Snake River today) for SALT.
Derive is next generation derivatives infrastructure. Options, perps, spot, and lending, all with portfolio margin, cross margin, and 24/7 onchain settlement.
We’ve spent the last 5 years building this stack in crypto - with 90% onchain options market share and $30B+ volume - and now we’re increasingly focused on where this architecture can go next.
If you’re here and thinking about derivatives, market structure, or the future of exchanges, come say hi.
AI：偏主题投资表达，释放对基础设施与新叙事的偏多信号。
Nick Forster@nickforster · 2026/08/14赛道影响XAUT options volumes charts starting to look a lot like early HYPE. Gold traders/builders now get the following out of the box:
- Cross margined options + perps
- Cross asset collateral
- Borrow/lend
- Spot
- Structured products
Alchemy is possible with the infinite payoff factory (couldn't help myself).
First of many RWA markets on Derive.
AI：偏主题投资表达，释放对基础设施与新叙事的偏多信号。
Nick Forster@nickforster · 2026/08/12政策影响Surprising to me how quickly $HYPE has settled in to becoming a 60% implied vol asset, only ~10% richer than ETH out to the end of September (and a 3% average daily move, implied).
My guess is that options are the clearest way to generate meaningful USD by holding HYPE, and that holders are quite comfortable selling downside (via cash secured puts) and upside (via call spreads) using $HYPE and $kHYPE collateral. 20 delta put/call skew being so flat in September also indicative of balanced flow directionally.
Markets implying more chop to come, but if HYPE IV dips further into the low 50s, I think long vol / long options into Q4 could be a great trade, NFA.
AI：偏政策推进，强调合规落地与规则明晰，对监管主线更敏感。
Nick Forster@nickforster · 2026/08/05观点输出Had a great time chatting with @BitcoinJesusETH yesterday - covered a lot of ground
AI：延续个人公开立场，强调长期主义、执行效率与行业方向判断。
Nick Forster@nickforster · 2026/07/31观点输出@NotSoEasyMoney Options boards are implying <15% chance ETH goes sub 1400 by EOY - can generate ~10% yield selling the Dec 1,400 puts if you're comfortable buying in that range, NFA https://t.co/SEw5XODAHl
AI：延续个人公开立场，强调长期主义、执行效率与行业方向判断。
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