It’s telling that the Treasury’s actions last week to buy back more long-dated paper and issue more Bills took down the dollar and caused both gold and Bitcoin to soar. The market senses a slippery slope towards fiscal dominance and a possible loss in Fed independence. The assumption here is that for the Treasury to be successful in keeping yields down, it will need to significantly increase the size of the buybacks. That might require the Fed to become complicit in this operation twist, which takes us down the debasement path. Loose fiscal policy combined with loose monetary policy is a clear negative for the dollar (which is sitting on a long term trendline), and a clear positive for gold (and by extension Bitcoin).

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Jurrien Timmer指出,财政部回购长债并发行短债导致美元下跌,黄金和比特币飙升。市场担忧财政主导及美联储独立性丧失,若美联储被迫配合扭曲操作,将开启货币贬值路径。宽松的财政与货币政策组合利空美元,利好黄金及比特币。
02立场与情绪分析
03市场影响归因
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