PREDICTION · MARKETS
加密预测市场是一个人们可以用加密货币对未来事件结果进行投注的市场。
BTC-3.62%
ETH-11.19%
SOL-10.05%
智能合约平台-9.26%
一层公链-9.19%
工作量证明-7.61%
World Liberty Financial投资组合-8.39%权益证明-12.68%
RAIN · 板块占比 95.3%
为什么领先：Rain凭借超76亿美元市值稳居预测市场龙头，其去中心化架构与合规策略吸引大量机构资金。尽管近期价格承压，但高流动性与生态整合能力仍支撑其长期主导地位，是板块核心配置标的。
DRIFT · DeFi · 衍生品 · 板块占比 0.2%
为什么领先：Drift Protocol作为Solana链上衍生品枢纽，24小时涨幅近8%显示强劲动能。其高换手率（40.9%）反映活跃交易，永续合约与DeFi融合模式在预测市场细分中具备差异化竞争优势。
DESU · 板块占比 0.2%
为什么领先：Dexsport聚焦体育与娱乐预测赛道，市值约1188万美元。虽交易量偏低，但垂直领域定位清晰，若后续用户增长加速，有望在细分场景中实现突破，具备早期布局价值。
| # | 代币 | 评级 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | $0.8419 | +275.05% | 0.00% | — | $80.36 | B | |
2 | $0.002576 | +16.70% | -2.01% | $190.45K | $65.23K | A | |
3 | $0.00009277 | +12.77% | +73.21% | — | $1.01K | B | |
4 | $0.004253 | +5.09% | -38.01% | $512.01K | $1.99K | C | |
5 | $2.19 | +0.89% | -16.37% | $658.12K | $235.27 | C | |
6 | $0.0195 | +0.34% | 0.00% | $10.73M | $10.81K | C | |
7 | $0.000189 | -0.06% | 0.00% | $171.25K | $5.95K | C | |
8 | $0.008234 | -0.64% | +0.63% | $7.54M | $27.59K | C | |
9 | $0.0001615 | -0.95% | 0.00% | $1.94M | $3.13K | C | |
10 | $0.00001338 | -1.03% | 0.00% | $13.39K | $7.89 | C |
预测市场赛道受益于现实世界事件数字化趋势，用户参与度持续提升
头部项目Rain生态成熟，合规进展推动机构资金入场
Solana链上衍生品协议Drift展现高活跃度，技术架构优势明显
板块整体市值近79亿美元，具备一定规模效应与流动性基础
板块7日净流出超516万美元，短期资金面承压
平均24小时跌幅1.54%，市场情绪偏谨慎
监管不确定性仍制约大规模采用，合规成本可能挤压中小项目利润
@LarkDavis · 1.5M 粉丝
According to @coingecko 2026 Q3 Crypto Industry Report, prediction market volume surged +65.6% QoQ to $189.7B, more than doubling Q1 and setting a new ATH of $79.5B in September! Key takeaways: • Kalshi captured 76.5% of total September volume after a +65.8% (+$20.8B) MoM surge, driven almost entirely by sports parlays (Exotics). • Polymarket (US) flipped its global counterpart in notional volume for the first time, taking 2nd place. • Polymarket's combined global and US market share slid from 27.7% in June to 16.4% in September as Kalshi dominated. • While Sports and Crypto still lead overall, user interest is splitting: Kalshi users lean into Financials, while Polymarket users favor Politics and Weather.
@Tradermayne · 560.4K 粉丝
In the next few months we'll be able to combo Perps and Prediction markets at the same time on Polymarket https://t.co/7tAhfs98Ai
@laurashin · 282.9K 粉丝
ICE and Founders Fund have reportedly urged Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan to hire a chief operating officer, as the prediction market raises at a $21 billion valuation in a round led by 1789 Capital. https://t.co/QhnKwwqpQX
@Greta0086 · 154.5K 粉丝
polymarket用户都魔怔了 开始做梦了 @predictdotfun 凭什么给你polymarket用户空投？ predict用户同意吗？ 之前ppolymarket用户觉得predict用户是路边一条 现在polymarket用户就是路边一条 对了，我可是polymarket深度用户。。。能自己发吗？ https://t.co/uCTXRFFjmo
@PANewsCN · 97.9K 粉丝
🤨Polymarket CEO曾用公司的钱付私人飞机和房租，Founders Fund投资前要求他还钱 据彭博社，2025年Founders Fund考虑投资预测市场Polymarket时，发现28岁的CEO Shayne Coplan曾动用公司资金，支付私人飞机行程、公寓房租和个人开支，而当时公司还没有任何收入。 知情人士称，Founders Fund要求他先完善财务管控、把钱还上，才肯投资。Coplan照做后，拿到了这笔对公司估值12亿美元的投资。 Polymarket回应称，这些飞行是出于业务需要，Coplan主动向投资人披露了这些开支，还款金额"不到一名软件工程师的年薪"。
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