Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Active
Up or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurring
Open 2026-08-02Ends 2026-08-03Settlement Source https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd
Total Volume$7.87K+$7.87K · 24H
Open Interest$7.9K--
Candidate Tiers10 -> 0
Traders----
WTI Spot Price50%--
0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
50%0%
01

AI Quick Read

WOOFUN AI
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUpdated Aug 3, 2026 19:13 GMT+8

This market prediction determines whether the Bitcoin price will rise between 12:00 and 16:00 ET on August 3. The current market estimates the probability of a “rise” at around 49%, indicating a basically balanced outlook, with the outcome decided by a mere 1% difference. The key lies in observing whether the closing price recorded by the Chainlink data source during that period is higher than the opening price; even the slightest fluctuation could reverse the result.

02

Prediction Probability Trend

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03

Candidate Outcomes · Price Tiers

1 tiers
A tier settles YES if the highest price of any one-minute candle reaches it during April
Candidate TierProbability24HProbability DistributionVolumeOdds
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET0
50%
0%
$7.87K
YES 50¢NO 50¢
1 candidate tiers · Total volume $247.00MOpen interest $2.04M · Each tier settles YES/NO independently
04

Market Rules & Background

Polymarket

No market rules.

Market Open Time2026-08-02 16:09:01
Settlement Date2026-08-03
Settlement Source--
Resolver--

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